If the world takes action quick enough, temperatures could peak by 2050.
This call to action comes from Climate Analytics, who are asking countries to take Targeted cuts to short-lived climate forcers, claiming it will bring quick rewards and slow warming by around 12% by 2035.
Bill Hare, CEO of Climate Analytics, said: “The timing of peak warming matters enormously. Every year temperatures continue rising increases the risks we face,”
“We have the tools to peak warming by 2050 and set the world on a path back well below 1.5°C. The question is whether governments will act fast enough to use them.”
The study finds that methane reductions deliver the largest temperature benefits among the short-lived climate forcers examined. While reducing methane emissions from fossil fuel production remains important in the medium-term, agriculture and waste offer substantial additional opportunities for cutting methane.
However, the researchers find that neither fossil fuel phase-out nor cuts to short-lived climate forcers are enough on their own to bring temperatures back below 1.5°C this century.
The findings confirm that returning to well below 1.5°C remains possible but requires the highest possible ambition across all mitigation measures, with the fossil phase-out and efforts to curb short-lived climate forcers playing a dominant role.
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